Dollar pares gains after weak US jobs data
Strikes, hurricanes deal US labor market a likely temporary blow
Traders firm bets on Fed interest-rate cuts after data
Sterling set to snap 5-week losing streak
Updates to U.S. morning
By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed
NEW YORK, Nov 1 (Reuters) -The dollar pared gains against the euro on Friday after data showed U.S. job growth slowed sharply in October amid disruptions from hurricanes and strikes by aerospace factory workers.
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 12,000 jobs last month, after a downwardly revised 223,000 in September, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Friday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast October payrolls rising 113,000.
The U.S. unemployment rate, however, held steady at 4.1%, offering assurance that the labor market remained on a solid footing.
Hurricane Helene devastated the Southeast in late September and Hurricane Milton lashed Florida a week later. A total 41,400 new workers were on strike, including machinists at Boeing BA.N and Textron TXT.N, an aircraft company, when employers were surveyed for October's employment report.
"The headline figure has been expected for quite some time to be low, though perhaps not this low, but it looks like right now traders are treating the entire data dump this morning with a grain of salt," Helen Given, associate director of trading at Monex USA, said.
The euro was down 0.12% against the dollar at $1.087, after having dipped as much as 0.28% earlier in the session.
The dollar index .DXY, which tracks the greenback against six major currencies, was up 0.07% at 103.95.
"Under normal circumstances this would be a hugely damaging report for the dollar and 50 bp rate cuts would suddenly be thrown back into the discussion. But markets are rightly avoiding an overreaction," Ballinger Group FX market analyst Kyle Chapman said in a note.
Traders of futures that settle to the Fed's policy rate were pricing about a 99% chance of a quarter-point interest rate cut on Nov. 7, to 4.5%-4.75%.
The Labor Department's closely watched employment report was the last major economic data before Americans head to the polls on Tuesday to choose Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris or Republican former President Donald Trump as the country's next president.
Opinion polls show the race is very tight. The Fed announces its policy decision two days after the election.
"I'm sure trading will be choppy, but likely range-bound ahead of both the election and the FOMC," Monex's Given said.
The dollar was on pace to snap a three-session losing streak against the yen, rising 0.26% to 152.41, ahead of a three-day weekend in Japan.
Less dovish comments from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda following the central bank's decision to stand pat on Thursday had lifted the yen earlier this week.
"We think the chances of a Dec. rate hike have somewhat increased after Gov. Ueda's press conference," Morgan Stanley MUFG economists Takeshi Yamaguchi and Masayuki Inui wrote in a report on Thursday.
Their base case remains for the BOJ to raise rates again in January to 0.5%.
Sterling GBP= was up 0.55%at $1.29695 on Friday, and set to snap a five-week streak of weekly losses against the dollar. Short-term British government borrowing costs headed for their biggest weekly jump in over a year on Friday, as Labour's tax-and-spend budget raised inflation expectations.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency by market cap, was up 1.5% on the day at $71.089.
World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E
Reporting by Saqib Iqbal Ahmed; Additional reporting by Amanda Cooper and Brigid Riley; Editing by Barbara Lewis, Jane Merriman and Susan Fenton
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إخلاء المسؤولية: تتيح كيانات XM Group خدمة تنفيذية فقط والدخول إلى منصة تداولنا عبر الإنترنت، مما يسمح للشخص بمشاهدة و/أو استخدام المحتوى المتاح على موقع الويب أو عن طريقه، وهذا المحتوى لا يراد به التغيير أو التوسع عن ذلك. يخضع هذا الدخول والاستخدام دائماً لما يلي: (1) الشروط والأحكام؛ (2) تحذيرات المخاطر؛ (3) إخلاء المسؤولية الكامل. لذلك يُقدم هذا المحتوى على أنه ليس أكثر من معلومات عامة. تحديداً، يرجى الانتباه إلى أن المحتوى المتاح على منصة تداولنا عبر الإنترنت ليس طلباً أو عرضاً لدخول أي معاملات في الأسواق المالية. التداول في أي سوق مالي به مخاطرة عالية برأس مالك.
جميع المواد المنشورة على منصة تداولنا مخصصة للأغراض التعليمية/المعلوماتية فقط ولا تحتوي - ولا ينبغي اعتبار أنها تحتوي - على نصائح أو توصيات مالية أو ضريبية أو تجارية، أو سجلاً لأسعار تداولنا، أو عرضاً أو طلباً لأي معاملة في أي صكوك مالية أو عروض ترويجية مالية لا داعي لها.
أي محتوى تابع للغير بالإضافة إلى المحتوى الذي أعدته XM، مثل الآراء، والأخبار، والأبحاث، والتحليلات والأسعار وغيرها من المعلومات أو روابط مواقع تابعة للغير وواردة في هذا الموقع تُقدم لك "كما هي"، كتعليق عام على السوق ولا تعتبر نصيحة استثمارية. يجب ألا يُفسر أي محتوى على أنه بحث استثماري، وأن تلاحظ وتقبل أن المحتوى غير مُعدٍ وفقاً للمتطلبات القانونية المصممة لتعزيز استقلالية البحث الاستثماري، وبالتالي، فهو بمثابة تواصل تسويقي بموجب القوانين واللوائح ذات الصلة. فضلاً تأكد من أنك قد قرأت وفهمت الإخطار بالبحوث الاستثمارية غير المستقلة والتحذير من مخاطر المعلومات السابقة، والذي يمكنك الاطلاع عليه هنا.
