Equities rise with dollar, bond yields as investors cheer strong US payrolls
US added 254,000 jobs in September vs 140,000 estimates
Dollar hits highest level since August, US bond yields rise
Oil rallies, on Mid East fears but settles below session highs
Updates prices after U.S. stock market close
By Sinéad Carew and Amanda Cooper
NEW YORK/LONDON, Oct 4 (Reuters) -MSCI's global equities index rose on Friday while the dollar climbed to its highest level since mid-August as investors heaved a sigh of relief after a surprisingly strong U.S. labor market report.
Oil prices rose and settled with their biggest weekly gains in over a year on the mounting threat of a region-wide war in the Middle East, but gains were limited as U.S. President Joe Biden discouraged Israel from targeting Iranian oil facilities.
Earlier on Friday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics said 254,000 workers were added to nonfarm payrolls last month, above the 140,000 economists hadestimated. The 4.1% unemployment rate was below estimates whileAugust jobgrowth was revised higher.
U.S. Treasury yields rose to their highest level since early August as tradersditched bets that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by half a percentage point next month after the stronger-than-expected jobsreport.
Traders now see a roughly 97% probability the Fed will cut rates by only a quarter percentage point in November, up from roughly 68% on Thursday,CME Group's FedWatch tool showed.
"U.S. equities reaction to this very strong jobs growth confirms that investors are most concerned about economic growth" even when it comes with a "hawkish disruption," said Julia Hermann, global market strategist, New York Life Investments.
"The fact the market has been able to digest this hawkish shift points to a constructive view about the economic outlook," Hermann added, pointing to moves in U.S. Treasuries as well as stocks.
Likely bringing further relief for U.S. economy was the reopening on Friday of U.S. East Coast and Gulf Coast ports after dockworkers and port operators reached a wage deal to settle the industry's biggest work stoppage in nearly half a century. However, clearing cargo backlog is expected to take time.
On Wall Street the Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 341.16 points, or 0.81%, to 42,352.75, registering a record closing high. The S&P 500 .SPX climbed 51.13 points, or 0.90%, to 5,751.07 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC advanced 219.37 points, or 1.22%, to 18,137.85.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe .MIWD00000PUS rose 4.82 points, or 0.57%, to 847.12. For the week, the index showed a roughly 0.7% decline.Earlier, Europe's STOXX 600 .STOXX index rose 0.44%.
Investors remainedanxious about how Israel would respond after Iran fired missiles at it on Tuesday. Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said earlier that Iran and its regional allies will not back down.
But oil prices pared gains after U.S. President Biden said that, in Israel's shoes, he would consider alternatives to striking Iranian oil fields and that he thinks Israel has not decided yet how to respond.
U.S. crude CLc1 settled up 0.9% at $74.38 a barrel and Brent LCOc1 settled at $78.05 per barrel, up 0.55% on the day.
In currencies, the dollar jumpedto a seven-week high and was eying its biggest weekly gain since September 2022 after the jobs report led traders to cut their bets on a big Fed rate cut.
Based on its gains for the full week, New York Life's Hermann said the dollar was also "clearly reacting to geopolitical risk."
The dollar index =USD, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, rose 0.56% to 102.48.
The euro EUR= was down 0.5% at $1.0976 while against the Japanese yen JPY=, the dollar strengthened 1.25% to 148.77.
InTreasuries, the yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes US10YT=RR rose 12.5 basis points to 3.975%, from 3.85% late on Thursday while the 30-year bond US30YT=RR yield rose 7.9 basis points to 4.259%.
The 2-year note US2YT=RR yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, rose 21.8 basis points to 3.9321%, from 3.714% late on Thursday.
In precious metals, gold prices slipped after the stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report poured cold water on expectations for another big Fed rate cut.
Spot gold XAU= fell 0.23% to $2,649.89 an ounce. U.S. gold futures GCc1 fell 0.38% to $2,647.10 an ounce.
Oil price wary amid prospects of war escalation https://reut.rs/3zM4k0O
Monthly change in US jobs https://reut.rs/47QAQeR
Reporting by Sinéad Carew in New York, Amanda Cooper in London, Rae Wee in Singapore and Davide Barbuscia in New York; Editing by Jacqueline Wong, Andrew Heavens, Chizu Nomiyama, Toby Chopra and Richard Chang
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إخلاء المسؤولية: تتيح كيانات XM Group خدمة تنفيذية فقط والدخول إلى منصة تداولنا عبر الإنترنت، مما يسمح للشخص بمشاهدة و/أو استخدام المحتوى المتاح على موقع الويب أو عن طريقه، وهذا المحتوى لا يراد به التغيير أو التوسع عن ذلك. يخضع هذا الدخول والاستخدام دائماً لما يلي: (1) الشروط والأحكام؛ (2) تحذيرات المخاطر؛ (3) إخلاء المسؤولية الكامل. لذلك يُقدم هذا المحتوى على أنه ليس أكثر من معلومات عامة. تحديداً، يرجى الانتباه إلى أن المحتوى المتاح على منصة تداولنا عبر الإنترنت ليس طلباً أو عرضاً لدخول أي معاملات في الأسواق المالية. التداول في أي سوق مالي به مخاطرة عالية برأس مالك.
جميع المواد المنشورة على منصة تداولنا مخصصة للأغراض التعليمية/المعلوماتية فقط ولا تحتوي - ولا ينبغي اعتبار أنها تحتوي - على نصائح أو توصيات مالية أو ضريبية أو تجارية، أو سجلاً لأسعار تداولنا، أو عرضاً أو طلباً لأي معاملة في أي صكوك مالية أو عروض ترويجية مالية لا داعي لها.
أي محتوى تابع للغير بالإضافة إلى المحتوى الذي أعدته XM، مثل الآراء، والأخبار، والأبحاث، والتحليلات والأسعار وغيرها من المعلومات أو روابط مواقع تابعة للغير وواردة في هذا الموقع تُقدم لك "كما هي"، كتعليق عام على السوق ولا تعتبر نصيحة استثمارية. يجب ألا يُفسر أي محتوى على أنه بحث استثماري، وأن تلاحظ وتقبل أن المحتوى غير مُعدٍ وفقاً للمتطلبات القانونية المصممة لتعزيز استقلالية البحث الاستثماري، وبالتالي، فهو بمثابة تواصل تسويقي بموجب القوانين واللوائح ذات الصلة. فضلاً تأكد من أنك قد قرأت وفهمت الإخطار بالبحوث الاستثمارية غير المستقلة والتحذير من مخاطر المعلومات السابقة، والذي يمكنك الاطلاع عليه هنا.
