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USDCAD


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Midweek Technical Look – EURJPY, USDCAD, Gold

EURJPY in a wait-and-see mode ahead of ECB's rate decisionUSDCAD looks overbought after fast rally to two-month highGold starts a new bullish wave. Will it hit a new record high?
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Daily Comment – Stocks under pressure by chipmakers, pound slips on CPI drop

Chip stocks hit by selloff after ASML cuts 2025 guidanceDollar stretches gains as pound and kiwi fall on lower inflationOil steadier amid ongoing ME drama, gold heads towards fresh recordChip and AI stocks take a diveEquity markets suffered a setback on Tuesday after Dutch semiconductor giant, ASML, sparked panic about the demand outlook for chips when it accidentally published its earnings report a day early.
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Quick Brief – Canadian CPI opens the door for 50 bps rate cut by BoC

Canadian CPI falls to 1.6% y/yBoC is expected to cut rates by 50 bpsLoonie loses significant groundCanada's annual inflation rate decreased to 1.6% in September, down from 2% in the previous month, the lowest since February 2021 and below the market consensus of 1.8%. It was the second consecutive period in which CPI inflation fell on or below the Bank of Canada's target of 2%, endorsing expectations that policymakers will cut rates by 50 bps during the next policy meeting. Infla
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD posts another fresh 2-month peak

USDCAD’s bullish wave still continues near 1.3800Technical oscillators near overbought levelsUSDCAD surged to a new two-month high earlier today, just below the round number 1.3800. After completion of the double bottom pattern and the break above the 1.3650 support, the short-term view switched to positive. The pair added around 2.8%, with the technical oscillators confirming the upside move.
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Week Ahead – ECB headed towards another cut, CPI on the agenda elsewhere

The ECB is expected to deliver its first back-to-back rate cut on ThursdayCPI data incoming in Canada, China, Japan, New Zealand and UKChina GDP and US retail sales also high on investors’ radarIs an ECB rate cut a done deal?Following the RBNZ, which cut interest rates by 50 basis points this Wednesday, the central bank torch will be passed next week to the ECB.
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD extends its bullish rally to new 2-month high

USDCAD completes 8 green daysMACD and RSI indicate strong positive momentumUSDCAD skyrocketed to another fresh two-month high of 1.3774 during yesterday's session, adding more than 2.5% following the rebound from the double bottom pattern around 1.3420. The aggressive buying activity above the 1.3650 barrier, which served as a neckline, completed the latest formation.Currently, the price is experiencing its eighth straight green day, with the technical oscillators showing more room for impro
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Midweek Technical Look – EURUSD, USDCAD, gold

EURUSD retains selling interest beneath 1.0950USDCAD declines after aggressive buying interest to 2-month highGold finds support at 2,600 critical level
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD unlocks 2-month high

USDCAD adds almost 2% from the end of SeptemberDouble bottom pattern completedMACD and RSI head northUSDCAD is skyrocketing to a fresh two-month high of 1.3675 as it added almost 2% from the bounce off the 1.3420 trough, achieved on September 25. A double bottom formation has been completed following the break above the 1.3650 line.The momentum
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Week Ahead – As the dollar recovers, spotlight falls on US CPI inflation

US CPI data to guide Fed rate cut bets and the dollarRBNZ expected to cut interest rates by 50bps Wounded pound awaits monthly GDP numbersCanada jobs data and BoC business survey also on tabDollar rebounds on safe haven flows and upbeat dataThe US dollar staged a meaningful recovery this week aided by Fed Chair Powell’s remarks that the US central bank would likely stick with quarter-point rate cuts, adding that they are not “in a hurry”, as new data have bolstered their confidence in the
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD holds on recovery action as NFP report awaited

USDCAD returns above 20-day EMA and familiar constraining lineTechnical signals cannot warrant a meaningful rallySeptember’s US nonfarm payrolls due at 12:30 GMTUSDCAD continued its upward movement from a seven-month low of 1.3418, surpassing its 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) and the constraining ascending line from the 2021 low.The range of 1.3580-1.3620, which encapsulates the 50- and 200-day EMAs as well as the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the latest downleg is the next target
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Central banks easing: the race to the bottom has officially commenced

Fed to lead the easing spree in the fourth quarter of 2024A conservative approach is priced in for ECB and BoESNB, BoC and RBNZ to ease further; RBA could follow suitBoJ could surprise with another rate hike by year-end More rate cuts on the way in the fourth quarter of 2024Another round of central banks’ meetings has been completed with the Fed stealing the show by announcing the start of its easing cycle.
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Technical Analysis - USDCAD tumbles and hits support near 1.3425

USDCAD falls sharply, accelerating prevailing retreatBoth the RSI and the MACD detect bearish momentumA break below 1.3425 could extend the fall towards 1.3350For the outlook to brighten, a rebound above 1.3645 may be neededUSDCAD fell sharply on Tuesday, extending the retreat that started on Thursday after the pair hit resistance at 1.3645, slightly above the lower bound of the sideways range that contained most of the price action between April and August.Yesterday’s tumble was paused today
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Daily Comment – Euro sinks on poor PMIs, dollar firms ahead of Fedspeak

Eurozone PMIs dip into contraction zone, euro takes a dive Stocks mixed as weak PMIs offset optimism about China stimulus Dollar edges up as after Waller comments; Powell and PCE inflation eyed next Euro tumbles as recession fears return Eurozone business activity unexpectedly contracted in September according to the flash PMI estimates for September, sparking fresh concerns about the health of the economy.
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USDCAD is in green today after a strongly negative session on Thursday The 200-day SMA continues to act as strong resistance Momentum indicators question the recent bullish trend  USDCAD is in the green today as dollar bulls are trying to react to yesterday’s weak performance from the greenback. USDCAD is hovering a tad below the 1.3590-1.3605 area and the lower boundary of the recent rectangle, as the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) is proving a rather strong resistance fa
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD plunges below 1.3600

USDCAD tumbles after the spike to 1.3645 today Momentum oscillators are heading down USDCAD has been in a strong selling interest today, despite the bullish start and the climb to 1.3645. The price tumbled beneath the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), flirting with the 20-day SMA at 1.3540. Technically, the MACD oscillator is holding above its trigger line, but the momentum is currently weakening.
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Daily Comment – Stocks extend gains as a 50bps Fed cut becomes more likely

Stocks in the green as a 50bps Fed rate cut is expected US retail sales today could prolong dollar’s weakness Loonie could suffer from another weak CPI report Gold remains bid as US yields continue to drop 50bps Fed rate cut is now the main scenario Markets continue to dance to the tune of Wednesday’s Fed meeting. Chances of a 50bps rate cut got a strong boost yesterday with the market currently pricing in a 67% probability that history will repeat itself and the Fed wi
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Week Ahead – Fed to cut interest rates, BoE and BoJ to remain on hold

Investors are split between a 25 and 50bps Fed rate cut BoE expected to stand pat, but resume cuts in November BoJ to also stay on hold, focus to fall on future hike signals Let the Fed cuts begin Since the July US employment report, which sparked fears of recession, investors have been trying to figure out the size of the potential rate cut the Fed will deliver at its September gathering, and the moment of truth has finally come.
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD flirts with 200-day SMA again

USDCAD remains below 1.3600 MACD and RSI indicate upside recovery USDCAD is moving back and forth of the 200-day simple moving average, which is standing marginally beneath the 1.3600 round number. Earlier in the week, the market successfully travelled towards the 1.3620 bar, adding optimism for more bullish actions. The technical oscillators are confirming an upside recovery after prices bounced off the 1.3440 support level.
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD rises back near 1.3600 key zone

USDCAD tries to keep the battle going with the 200-day SMA Momentum oscillators indicate more upside moves USDCAD advanced considerably on Friday, meeting the 200-simple moving average (SMA), slightly beneath the 1.3600 round number. A successful rally above the aforementioned level could add some optimism for more bullish actions, hitting the 50-day SMA at 1.3665, while even higher, the 1.3790 barrier may pause the ascending move.
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD doubts September’s upturn

USDCAD trims September’s uptick to trade near key trendline Technical signals are mixed; a break below 1.3480 could shift the bias to the downside US & Canadian employment figures due at 12:30 GMT   USDCAD started Friday’s NFP session with soft negative momentum after a stagnant day, which prevented the pair from examining its weekly high of 1.3564. While the technical indicators have barely shown any improvement, there is still a chance for a positive turnaround as long
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الأصول الشائعة

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أي محتوى تابع للغير بالإضافة إلى المحتوى الذي أعدته XM، مثل الآراء، والأخبار، والأبحاث، والتحليلات والأسعار وغيرها من المعلومات أو روابط مواقع تابعة للغير وواردة في هذا الموقع تُقدم لك "كما هي"، كتعليق عام على السوق ولا تعتبر نصيحة استثمارية. يجب ألا يُفسر أي محتوى على أنه بحث استثماري، وأن تلاحظ وتقبل أن المحتوى غير مُعدٍ وفقاً للمتطلبات القانونية المصممة لتعزيز استقلالية البحث الاستثماري، وبالتالي، فهو بمثابة تواصل تسويقي بموجب القوانين واللوائح ذات الصلة. فضلاً تأكد من أنك قد قرأت وفهمت الإخطار بالبحوث الاستثمارية غير المستقلة والتحذير من مخاطر المعلومات السابقة، والذي يمكنك الاطلاع عليه هنا.

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