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NZDUSD


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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD plummets beneath 0.6200

NZDUSD loses significant groundStochastic suggests oversold marketRSI still falls furtherNZDUSD has been plunging below 0.6200 since it peaked at 0.6380, losing almost 3% and penetrating the short-term uptrend line to the downside. The stochastic dived towards the oversold region but is currently ticking marginally higher, suggesting the end of the
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Week Ahead – As the dollar recovers, spotlight falls on US CPI inflation

US CPI data to guide Fed rate cut bets and the dollarRBNZ expected to cut interest rates by 50bps Wounded pound awaits monthly GDP numbersCanada jobs data and BoC business survey also on tabDollar rebounds on safe haven flows and upbeat dataThe US dollar staged a meaningful recovery this week aided by Fed Chair Powell’s remarks that the US central bank would likely stick with quarter-point rate cuts, adding that they are not “in a hurry”, as new data have bolstered their confidence in the
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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD retreats below short-term uptrend line

NZDUSD pulls back from its 15-month topStochastic tumbles to oversold regionRSI falls near 50 levelNZDUSD lost more than 2% following the pullback from the 15-month high of 0.6380, flirting with the short-term ascending trend line and the 20-day simple moving average (SMA).In the previous days, the 50- and 200-day SMAs posted a bullish crossover, but the market is currently retreating, taking the technical oscillators lower.
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Daily Comment – PCE inflation corroborates dovish Fed bets

Softer PCE data keep chances of another 50bps Fed cut elevatedFed Chair Powell speaks, ISM PMIs and NFP on this week’s agendaYen rally pauses after Ishiba says policy should stay accommodativeAussie, kiwi and Chinese stocks celebrate PBoC’s measuresMarket assigns decent chance for back-to-back 50bps Fed cutThe dollar slipped against most of its major peers after Friday’s data revealed that the headline PCE price index slowed more than expected in August, although the more important core PC
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Week Ahead – NFP on tap amid bets of another bold Fed rate cut

Investors see decent chance of another 50bps cut in NovemberFed speakers, ISM PMIs and NFP to shape rate cut betsEurozone CPI data awaited amid bets for more ECB cutsChina PMIs and BoJ Summary of Opinions also on tapWill the Fed opt for a back-to-back 50bps rate cut?Although the dollar slipped after the Fed decided to cut interest rates by 50bps and to signal that another 50bps worth of reductions are on the cards for the remainder of the year, the currency traded in a consolidative manner this
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Central banks easing: the race to the bottom has officially commenced

Fed to lead the easing spree in the fourth quarter of 2024A conservative approach is priced in for ECB and BoESNB, BoC and RBNZ to ease further; RBA could follow suitBoJ could surprise with another rate hike by year-end More rate cuts on the way in the fourth quarter of 2024Another round of central banks’ meetings has been completed with the Fed stealing the show by announcing the start of its easing cycle.
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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD puts life back to short-term uptrend

NZDUSD marks new higher high for 2024Positive momentum might soften; eyes on 0.6368NZDUSD stretched its exciting rally to a new nine-month high of 0.6354 on Wednesday before experiencing mild losses.The pair surpassed August’s bar with a bang, shifting the spotlight to the December 2023 peak of 0.6368. Given the strengthening overbought signals coming from the RSI and the stochastic oscillator, the rally could soon calm down.A decisive close above 0.6368 could stage a new bull wave towards th
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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD leads the pack as FOMC rate decision looms

NZDUSD bulls retake control; fight for a close above 20-SMA Short-term bias is positive, but there are more obstacles on the upside   NZDUSD is a top performer today as investors are actively waiting for the Fed’s rate decision. The pair picked up positive momentum above its 20-day simple moving average (SMA) at 0.6195, which has been rejecting bullish actions over the past week.
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Daily Comment – Dollar and equities rebound from NFP-led losses as focus turns to US CPI

US jobs report adds to slowdown fears but provides no clarity about Fed policy Dollar whipsaws while stocks tumble as ‘September effect’ takes hold But risk sentiment improves ahead of US CPI report and ECB decision Signs of optimism after NFP bloodbath Markets began the second week of September in a somewhat more upbeat mood as US slowdown jitters were put on hold even as inflation data out of China pointed to persistently weak demand in the world’s second-largest economy.
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Daily Comment – Equities weakness lingers as focus remains on US data

Equities remain on the back foot as key US data on the menu today ADP, jobless claims and ISM Services could prove market moving Dollar’s mixed performance continues, yen benefits OPEC+ production rumours fail to push oil prices higher US data releases in the spotlight Equity markets continue to exhibit a rather unexpected fragility as second tier data like Wednesday’s JOLTs job openings resulted in another negative session in most stock indices around the globe.
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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD plunges from 8-month high

NZDUSD retreats with next support at 0.6130 Momentum oscillators step down NZDUSD has been declining considerably following the pullback from the eight-month high of 0.6298, erasing some of the gains of the previous week. The price may find first support at the 0.6130 barricade, ahead of the golden cross between the 20- and the 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) at 0.6100. Slightly lower, the 50-day SMA at 0.6060 may pause the descending movement.
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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD flies to fresh 8-month peak

NZDUSD creates strong bullish wave in short-term 20- and 200-day SMAs ready for bullish cross Stochastic and RSI near overbought levels NZDUSD surged to a new eight-month high earlier in the day, continuing the strong buying interest that started on August 5. The price has increased around 8% and this upside movement is also confirmed by the potential golden cross within the 20- and the 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs).
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Daily Comment – Nvidia earnings fail to buoy markets, focus turns to US data

Nvidia slumps in after-hours trading as earnings don’t excite Equities mixed as attention turns to US data for direction Kiwi outperforms, euro slips on soft German and Spanish CPI figures No post-Nvidia boost for equities Nvidia’s much anticipated earnings results for the second quarter failed to deliver on the very high expectations even as the chip giant saw its revenue more than double from a year ago.
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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD still bullish but rally looks overstretched

NZDUSD is up almost 5% so far in August Further gains are likely, but risk of near-term correction is high   NZDUSD is trading near seven-month highs on Wednesday, as the pair continues its August bull charge. However, there appears to be some resistance in the 0.6250 area where the intersecting long-term descending trendline is providing additional friction.
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Daily Comment – Markets cautious as Nvidia earnings and key US data loom

Dollar pauses slide as jobs and inflation data awaited Yen pulls back but hawkish BoJ signals keep it elevated Wall Street awaits Nvidia, oil retreats on demand worries Dollar awaits key data for direction The US dollar extended its slump against all its major peers on Tuesday, as in the absence of any top-tier data and shocking headlines, investors continued to digest Powell’s dovish stance at Jackson Hole.
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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD hits fresh 2-month high

NZDUSD stages a V-shaped recovery from 2024 low The pair jumps above 200-day SMA to its highest since June 14 Oscillators improve notably, suggesting increasing bullish bias NZDUSD has been steadily regaining ground since the beginning of the month after finding its footing at a fresh 2024 low of 0.5848. In the near term, the pair sliced through its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) to post a fresh two-month high on Wednesday.
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Market Comment – Dollar under pressure ahead of Jackson Hole Symposium

Stocks in the green again as investors await the Jackson Hole gathering Economists look for strong Fed easing in 2024 despite recession talk dissipating Dollar remains on the back foot against most currencies Aussie fails to benefit from hawkish minutes; loonie could suffer from weak CPI Stocks still in the green Stocks continue to enjoy green sessions as the market is counting down to Friday’s Jackson Hole speech by Fed Chairman Powell.
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Market Comment – Markets perk up as soft PPI sets the tone ahead of US CPI

Stocks perk up after soft US producer prices, all eyes now on CPI report Kiwi slumps after RBNZ cuts rates and signals more to come Pound also slips on weaker-than-expected UK inflation data Gold holds near record high as dollar skids, ME tensions mount Mood brightens ahead of US CPI data The rebound in equity markets gained further traction on Tuesday after US producer prices rose less than expected in July, raising hopes that today’s report on consumer prices will also sur
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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD hits a wall at the 200-day SMA

NZDUSD had been in a recovery mode since early August But 200-day SMA rejects advance after dovish RBNZ meeting Oscillators deteriorate, yet remain neutral-to-positive NZDUSD had been steadily regaining ground since the beginning of the month after finding its footing near the previous 2024 low of 0.5851 registered in April. However, the rebound paused at the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), with the bears getting aided by a dovish RBNZ rate decision on Wednesday.
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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD at key resistance area ahead of the RBNZ

NZDUSD continues to climb higher Strong reaction following the recent correction Momentum indicators are turning bullish NZDUSD is trading higher again today, recording its ninth green candle in the past 11 sessions and cancelling out almost completely the recent correction. The overall sentiment has improved following last week’s rout with the market now focusing on the RBNZ meeting held during tomorrow’s Asian session.
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الأصول الشائعة

إخلاء المسؤولية: تتيح كيانات XM Group خدمة تنفيذية فقط والدخول إلى منصة تداولنا عبر الإنترنت، مما يسمح للشخص بمشاهدة و/أو استخدام المحتوى المتاح على موقع الويب أو عن طريقه، وهذا المحتوى لا يراد به التغيير أو التوسع عن ذلك. يخضع هذا الدخول والاستخدام دائماً لما يلي: (1) الشروط والأحكام؛ (2) تحذيرات المخاطر؛ (3) إخلاء المسؤولية الكامل. لذلك يُقدم هذا المحتوى على أنه ليس أكثر من معلومات عامة. تحديداً، يرجى الانتباه إلى أن المحتوى المتاح على منصة تداولنا عبر الإنترنت ليس طلباً أو عرضاً لدخول أي معاملات في الأسواق المالية. التداول في أي سوق مالي به مخاطرة عالية برأس مالك.

جميع المواد المنشورة على منصة تداولنا مخصصة للأغراض التعليمية/المعلوماتية فقط ولا تحتوي - ولا ينبغي اعتبار أنها تحتوي - على نصائح أو توصيات مالية أو ضريبية أو تجارية، أو سجلاً لأسعار تداولنا، أو عرضاً أو طلباً لأي معاملة في أي صكوك مالية أو عروض ترويجية مالية لا داعي لها.

أي محتوى تابع للغير بالإضافة إلى المحتوى الذي أعدته XM، مثل الآراء، والأخبار، والأبحاث، والتحليلات والأسعار وغيرها من المعلومات أو روابط مواقع تابعة للغير وواردة في هذا الموقع تُقدم لك "كما هي"، كتعليق عام على السوق ولا تعتبر نصيحة استثمارية. يجب ألا يُفسر أي محتوى على أنه بحث استثماري، وأن تلاحظ وتقبل أن المحتوى غير مُعدٍ وفقاً للمتطلبات القانونية المصممة لتعزيز استقلالية البحث الاستثماري، وبالتالي، فهو بمثابة تواصل تسويقي بموجب القوانين واللوائح ذات الصلة. فضلاً تأكد من أنك قد قرأت وفهمت الإخطار بالبحوث الاستثمارية غير المستقلة والتحذير من مخاطر المعلومات السابقة، والذي يمكنك الاطلاع عليه هنا.

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