Oil slides on Mideast respite, yen down as Japan govt loses majority
LDP loses majority in Japan; yen hits 153/dollar
Oil slides 4% on restrained Israel strike
'Magnificent 7' earnings, US jobs data in focus
Updates prices, adds analysts' comments in paragraphs 6, 8-9
By Tom Westbrook
SINGAPORE, Oct 28 (Reuters) -The yen hit a three-month low on Monday as Japan's ruling party lost its parliamentary majority, while oil tumbled after Israel's weekend strike on Iran bypassed oil or nuclear targets.
Japan's Nikkei .N225, after initially falling, rose 1.9% and the yen JPY=EBS slipped as far as 0.9% to 153.88 per dollar following the ruling Liberal Democratic Party's (LDP) weakest result since 2009 in Japan's weekend election.
Brent crude futures LCOc1 fell 5%, trading as cheaply as $71.99 a barrel after Israel's response to an Iranian missile attack focused, so far, on missile factories and other sites near Tehran and not on disrupting energy supplies. O/R
In Japan, the LDP which has ruled for most of the post-war years and junior coalition partner Komeito won 215 lower-house seats at Sunday's election, public broadcaster NHK reported.
This falls well short of the 233 needed for a majority and the yen was squeezed since investors figured any government that emerges is likely to make a dovish shift in economic policies. .TFRX/
"The administrative power of the ruling coalition has inevitably become more fragile, and we see likelihood of pressure building towards more fiscal expansion, given that some opposition parties advocate this," Goldman Sachs analysts wrote.
"The markets are likely to think this means more trouble for the yen with 155 the first target and (the finance ministry's) line in the sand at 160," said Bob Savage, head of markets strategy and insights at BNY in a note.
Nomura analyst Yusuke Miyairi also expects the Bank of Japan, which reviews policy on Thursday, will be more dovish and that will hurt the yen.
"We expect this political turmoil largely to negatively influence Japanese stock prices," he said.
Gains in the Japanese stock market, which often moves in the opposite direction to the yen as a weaker currency can help exporters, were led by technology companies.
RISING DOLLAR
Broader currency markets were steady, leaving the dollar on course for its largest monthly rise in 2-1/2 years as signs of strength in the U.S. economy and the prospect of a Donald Trump presidency have driven U.S. yields sharply higher.
While markets have started pricing in a second Trump administration in recent weeks, Vice President Kamala Harris is leading Trump nationally by a marginal 46% to 43%, a recent Reuters/Ipsos poll showed.
At 4.23%, benchmark 10-year Treasury yields US10YT=RR are up 43 basis points through October, against a rise of 16 bps for 10-year bunds DE10YT=RR and 23 bps for gilts GB10YT=RR.
Markets price a 95% chance of a 25 basis point Federal Reserve rate cut at its November meeting. Odds for a bigger half-point cut were at 50% a month ago, according to CME's FedWatch tool. FEDWATCH
Elsewhere, U.S. stock futures ESc1 were up 0.4% ahead of a big week of earnings and data. In early European trades, the pan-region Euro Stoxx 50 futures STXEc1 were up 0.26% and German DAX futures FDXc1 were up 0.21%.
Five of the "Magnificent Seven" group of megacap companies are set to report: Google parent Alphabet GOOGL.O, Microsoft MSFT.O, Facebook owner Meta META.O, Apple AAPL.O and Amazon AMZN.O.
The U.S. jobs report on Nov. 1 comes as investors are weighing whether a stronger-than-expected economy could lead to fewer interest rate cuts, while inflation readings are due in Europe and Australia.
Gold XAU=, which hit record highs last week, hovered just shy of those levels at $2,736 an ounce.
World FX rates YTD http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh
Asian stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
Nikkei 225 index falls as political uncertainty arises https://reut.rs/3UiFsEU
Reporting by Tom Westbrook; Editing by Christopher Cushing and Sonali Paul
الأصول ذات الصلة
آخر الأخبار
إخلاء المسؤولية: تتيح كيانات XM Group خدمة تنفيذية فقط والدخول إلى منصة تداولنا عبر الإنترنت، مما يسمح للشخص بمشاهدة و/أو استخدام المحتوى المتاح على موقع الويب أو عن طريقه، وهذا المحتوى لا يراد به التغيير أو التوسع عن ذلك. يخضع هذا الدخول والاستخدام دائماً لما يلي: (1) الشروط والأحكام؛ (2) تحذيرات المخاطر؛ (3) إخلاء المسؤولية الكامل. لذلك يُقدم هذا المحتوى على أنه ليس أكثر من معلومات عامة. تحديداً، يرجى الانتباه إلى أن المحتوى المتاح على منصة تداولنا عبر الإنترنت ليس طلباً أو عرضاً لدخول أي معاملات في الأسواق المالية. التداول في أي سوق مالي به مخاطرة عالية برأس مالك.
جميع المواد المنشورة على منصة تداولنا مخصصة للأغراض التعليمية/المعلوماتية فقط ولا تحتوي - ولا ينبغي اعتبار أنها تحتوي - على نصائح أو توصيات مالية أو ضريبية أو تجارية، أو سجلاً لأسعار تداولنا، أو عرضاً أو طلباً لأي معاملة في أي صكوك مالية أو عروض ترويجية مالية لا داعي لها.
أي محتوى تابع للغير بالإضافة إلى المحتوى الذي أعدته XM، مثل الآراء، والأخبار، والأبحاث، والتحليلات والأسعار وغيرها من المعلومات أو روابط مواقع تابعة للغير وواردة في هذا الموقع تُقدم لك "كما هي"، كتعليق عام على السوق ولا تعتبر نصيحة استثمارية. يجب ألا يُفسر أي محتوى على أنه بحث استثماري، وأن تلاحظ وتقبل أن المحتوى غير مُعدٍ وفقاً للمتطلبات القانونية المصممة لتعزيز استقلالية البحث الاستثماري، وبالتالي، فهو بمثابة تواصل تسويقي بموجب القوانين واللوائح ذات الصلة. فضلاً تأكد من أنك قد قرأت وفهمت الإخطار بالبحوث الاستثمارية غير المستقلة والتحذير من مخاطر المعلومات السابقة، والذي يمكنك الاطلاع عليه هنا.
