Dollar hovers near highs as investors parse China's stimulus plans; euro slips
Updates at 1120 GMT
Euro falls ahead of ECB meeting, rate cut expected
China's fiscal stimulus briefing disappoints investors
Bitcoin and ether hit two-week highs
By Medha Singh, Vidya Ranganathan
SINGAPORE/LONDON, Oct 14 (Reuters) -The dollar hovered near recent highs on Monday as investors digested China's weekend stimulus announcements that some found disappointing, while the euro extended its fall ahead of a central bank meeting this week.
The euro was down 0.1% at $1.092 EUR=EBS, falling for the 11th time in 12 sessions as investors moved to price in a 25 basis-point interest rate cut from the European Central Bank with near certainty at its Thursday meeting as data pointed to deteriorating euro zone activity.
Current indicators indicate continued weakness in the German economy in the past quarter, the economy ministry said in its monthly report on Monday.
Meanwhile, credit ratings agency Fitch revised France's outlook to "negative" from "stable" on Friday, citing increases in fiscal policy and political risks.
"Germany is still mired in stagflation and France is under its own issues with budget and growth problems and that doesn't bode well for the euro," said Jane Foley, head of FX strategy at Rabobank.
"It speaks to the speculation that the ECB is getting more concerned about growth than they were."
The pound dipped 0.2%, hovering near one-month lows GBP=D3 at $1.30460.
The yen weakened to its lowest since early August against the dollar at 149.640 in thin trading as Japanese markets were shut for a bank holiday.
U.S. Treasuries were also unlikely to provide much of a lead since bond markets were closed for Columbus Day.
The dollar index =USD ticked 0.1% higher to 103.13, a touch below last week's peak, which was its highest since mid-August, on the back of traders reducing bets on further jumbo rate cuts by the Federal Reserve at its remaining policy meetings this year.
The dollar has also found support in the fact that other central banks could be cutting interest rates more than the U.S., Foley said.
Last week's U.S. data showing slightly hotter-than-expected consumer inflation but higher weekly jobless claims have left intact forecasts for the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points in November and December.
Traders next have on their radar Thursday's retail sales and jobless claims data in the U.S., in addition to the ECB's policy review.
Fed Governor Christopher Waller - a supporter of a larger rate cut because he is worried the pace of price increases is undershooting the Fed's target - speaks later on Monday.
CHINA STIMULUS DISAPPOINTS
Trading in Asia was dominated by Beijing's fiscal stimulus briefing. China's yuan CNH= fell 0.4% against the dollar.
Without providing details on the size of the fiscal stimulus being prepared, Finance Minister Lan Foan told a press conference there will be more "counter-cyclical measures" this year.
"More time may be needed for more thought-out and targeted measures," said Christopher Wong, currency strategist at OCBC in Singapore. "But those measures also need to come fast as markets are eagerly waiting for them. Over-expectations vs under-delivery would result in disappointment."
The onshore yuan CNY=CFXS has fallen nearly 1% against the dollar since Sept. 24, when the People's Bank of China kicked off China's most aggressive stimulus measures since the pandemic.
In digital currencies, bitcoin BTC= firmed 3.5% to a two-week high of $64,952, while ether ETH= was last up 3.2% after hitting a two-week high of $2,546.35.
World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E
Reporting by Vidya Ranganathan in Singapore; Editing by Jamie Freed, Jan Harvey and Hugh Lawson
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إخلاء المسؤولية: تتيح كيانات XM Group خدمة تنفيذية فقط والدخول إلى منصة تداولنا عبر الإنترنت، مما يسمح للشخص بمشاهدة و/أو استخدام المحتوى المتاح على موقع الويب أو عن طريقه، وهذا المحتوى لا يراد به التغيير أو التوسع عن ذلك. يخضع هذا الدخول والاستخدام دائماً لما يلي: (1) الشروط والأحكام؛ (2) تحذيرات المخاطر؛ (3) إخلاء المسؤولية الكامل. لذلك يُقدم هذا المحتوى على أنه ليس أكثر من معلومات عامة. تحديداً، يرجى الانتباه إلى أن المحتوى المتاح على منصة تداولنا عبر الإنترنت ليس طلباً أو عرضاً لدخول أي معاملات في الأسواق المالية. التداول في أي سوق مالي به مخاطرة عالية برأس مالك.
جميع المواد المنشورة على منصة تداولنا مخصصة للأغراض التعليمية/المعلوماتية فقط ولا تحتوي - ولا ينبغي اعتبار أنها تحتوي - على نصائح أو توصيات مالية أو ضريبية أو تجارية، أو سجلاً لأسعار تداولنا، أو عرضاً أو طلباً لأي معاملة في أي صكوك مالية أو عروض ترويجية مالية لا داعي لها.
أي محتوى تابع للغير بالإضافة إلى المحتوى الذي أعدته XM، مثل الآراء، والأخبار، والأبحاث، والتحليلات والأسعار وغيرها من المعلومات أو روابط مواقع تابعة للغير وواردة في هذا الموقع تُقدم لك "كما هي"، كتعليق عام على السوق ولا تعتبر نصيحة استثمارية. يجب ألا يُفسر أي محتوى على أنه بحث استثماري، وأن تلاحظ وتقبل أن المحتوى غير مُعدٍ وفقاً للمتطلبات القانونية المصممة لتعزيز استقلالية البحث الاستثماري، وبالتالي، فهو بمثابة تواصل تسويقي بموجب القوانين واللوائح ذات الصلة. فضلاً تأكد من أنك قد قرأت وفهمت الإخطار بالبحوث الاستثمارية غير المستقلة والتحذير من مخاطر المعلومات السابقة، والذي يمكنك الاطلاع عليه هنا.
