Unilever's pricing shift may have attracted shoppers in third quarter
By Richa Naidu
LONDON, Oct 23 (Reuters) -Investors are looking to Unilever's ULVR.L third-quarter results on Thursday to see if the consumer goods group has started to claw back some market share lost to cheaper rivals as it seeks to balance sales volumes and margins.
The packaged food industry, including Unilever, had to raise prices to cope with cost increases during the pandemic, while grain and energy became more expensive after Russia's Ukraine invasion.
Shoppers started trading down to cheaper alternatives, such as private label brands owned by Walmart WMT.N, Tesco TSCO.l and Carrefour CARR.PA.
At their peak in the fourth quarter of 2022, Unilever's underlying price increases were 13.3%, with prices at its home care business up nearly 17% and prices at its ice cream business about 14% higher in that period.
"(On Thursday), we will look for the balance Unilever is striking between volumes and pricing," said Tineke Frikkee, a portfolio manager at Waverton Investment Management, a Unilever investor.
"They have lost market share to players who charged lower prices -- now prices have normalised, it will be interesting to see if volumes recover and if this has resulted in an improvement in competitive position."
Unilever, on a turnaround push led by CEO Hein Schumacher, also lost market share because it cut its product ranges. But it has also been launching new products, including Wonder Wash detergent.
The company is expected to report a 4.2% increase in third-quarter underlying sales growth, driven by a 3.2% increase in sales volumes, with 1% price increases, based on an average of analyst estimates, according to a company-provided consensus.
Larger rival Nestle missed organic sales growth estimates, reporting a nine-month price increase of 1.6%, behind analysts' average estimate of 1.7%. Real internal growth - or sales volumes - rose 0.5% versus an expected 0.8% increase.
Unilever's slower pace of price rises over the past year may have paid off in the third quarter.
A Barclays' analysis of data from market research group Nielsen, showed that Unilever's food business in the U.S. gained market share in grocery stores each month in the third quarter, driven by mayonnaise and soup bases.
Unilever makes Knorr soup base and Hellmann's mayonnaise.
The company's market share in U.S. grocery stores rose by 34 basis points in the four weeks to July 13, 57 basis points in the four weeks to Aug. 10 and 28 basis points in the four weeks to Sept. 7, the Barclays analysis of the Nielsen data, which does not capture all retail channels, showed.
But Unilever's market share for home and personal care goods sold in the U.S. slumped in the third quarter, as did Unilever's European market share in food, at times, the data showed.
Unilever declined to comment.
"Europe accounts for 20% of group sales but has been responsible for 60% of Unilever's underperforming cells globally," Barclays analyst Warren Ackerman said. He noted that Unilever's European home and personal care business had seen improved market share during the third quarter.
"The proof will be in the pudding when earnings are reported but if they are gaining U.S. market share that is clearly a good thing," Oberon Investments portfolio manager Jack Martin said. "If they can do that without eroding margins too much then it is good news."
Reporting by Richa Naidu. Editing by Jane Merriman
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إخلاء المسؤولية: تتيح كيانات XM Group خدمة تنفيذية فقط والدخول إلى منصة تداولنا عبر الإنترنت، مما يسمح للشخص بمشاهدة و/أو استخدام المحتوى المتاح على موقع الويب أو عن طريقه، وهذا المحتوى لا يراد به التغيير أو التوسع عن ذلك. يخضع هذا الدخول والاستخدام دائماً لما يلي: (1) الشروط والأحكام؛ (2) تحذيرات المخاطر؛ (3) إخلاء المسؤولية الكامل. لذلك يُقدم هذا المحتوى على أنه ليس أكثر من معلومات عامة. تحديداً، يرجى الانتباه إلى أن المحتوى المتاح على منصة تداولنا عبر الإنترنت ليس طلباً أو عرضاً لدخول أي معاملات في الأسواق المالية. التداول في أي سوق مالي به مخاطرة عالية برأس مالك.
جميع المواد المنشورة على منصة تداولنا مخصصة للأغراض التعليمية/المعلوماتية فقط ولا تحتوي - ولا ينبغي اعتبار أنها تحتوي - على نصائح أو توصيات مالية أو ضريبية أو تجارية، أو سجلاً لأسعار تداولنا، أو عرضاً أو طلباً لأي معاملة في أي صكوك مالية أو عروض ترويجية مالية لا داعي لها.
أي محتوى تابع للغير بالإضافة إلى المحتوى الذي أعدته XM، مثل الآراء، والأخبار، والأبحاث، والتحليلات والأسعار وغيرها من المعلومات أو روابط مواقع تابعة للغير وواردة في هذا الموقع تُقدم لك "كما هي"، كتعليق عام على السوق ولا تعتبر نصيحة استثمارية. يجب ألا يُفسر أي محتوى على أنه بحث استثماري، وأن تلاحظ وتقبل أن المحتوى غير مُعدٍ وفقاً للمتطلبات القانونية المصممة لتعزيز استقلالية البحث الاستثماري، وبالتالي، فهو بمثابة تواصل تسويقي بموجب القوانين واللوائح ذات الصلة. فضلاً تأكد من أنك قد قرأت وفهمت الإخطار بالبحوث الاستثمارية غير المستقلة والتحذير من مخاطر المعلومات السابقة، والذي يمكنك الاطلاع عليه هنا.
