Dollar surges, bitcoin hits record high as Trump claims victory
Dollar surges to 4-month high
Trump claims victory after Fox projects he has won presidency
Mexican peso, euro, Chinese yuan among hardest hit
Updates at 0905 GMT
By Samuel Indyk and Kevin Buckland
LONDON, Nov 6 (Reuters) -The dollar was set for its biggest one-day rise since March 2023 against major peers on Wednesday and bitcoin jumped to an all-time high, with traders increasingly confident of a U.S. election victory for former president Donald Trump.
Republican Trump claimed victory in the 2024 presidential contest after Fox News projected he had defeated Democrat Kamala Harris.
Other news outlets had yet to call the race for Trump, but he appeared on the verge of winning after capturing the battleground states of Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia and holding leads in the other four, according to Edison Research.
The U.S. currency's climb began after very early indications of a Republican win in Georgia.
The dollar index =USD - which measures the currency against six major peers - advanced 1.4% to 104.85 as of 0900 GMT, having earlier hit 105.31, a four-month peak. That put it on course for its best day since March 2023.
Trump's fiscal, tariff and immigration policies are seen as inflationary by analysts, buoying treasury yields and in turn the dollar.
"It has already been a very strong reaction, a sharp increase in the dollar," said Niels Christensen, chief analyst at Nordea.
"Expectations of looser fiscal policy and a tight labour market point to higher inflation and higher yields."
The benchmark 10-year U.S. treasury yield US10YT=RR rose 12 basis points to 4.4039%.
The U.S. currency jumped over 3% to 20.8038 Mexican pesos MXN=, a more than two-year high. It rose as much as 1.3% to 7.1928 yuan in offshore trading CNH=D3 for the first time in almost three months.
The onshore yuan CNY=CFXS finished the domestic session down 0.8% at 7.1649 per dollar, on track for its biggest daily loss since June 2023.
Mexico and China are among countries that stand to be hardest hit by possible Trump tariffs.
The euro EUR=EBS fell as much as 1.9% to $1.0702, its lowest since June 28. It was last down 1.5%. Sterling GBP=D3 slipped 1% to $1.2911.
The dollar rose to 154.38 yen JPY=EBS, the highest since July 30. It was last at 153.92.
Japan's chief cabinet secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi said on Wednesday that the government intended to closely watch moves on the foreign exchange market, including speculative moves, with a higher sense of urgency.
Bitcoin BTC= climbed as much as 8.6% to reach a record $75,389. It was last up around 6% at $73,756. Trump is seen as more actively supportive of cryptocurrencies than Harris.
Republicans won control of the Senate, and made gains in the House of Representatives as the party battled to retain control there, raising the potential for a so-called "Red Sweep".
"A potential unified government under President Trump would have the greatest degree of freedom for fiscal policy and would likely be the most dollar bullish outcome," Deutsche Bank analysts wrote in a research note.
"But even without control of Congress, a Trump victory would be decidedly dollar bullish via the impact of tariffs and the dollar should especially outperform against high-beta currencies," such as the Mexican peso and Australian dollar, they said.
The Aussie AUD=D3 slid as much as 1.87% to a three-month trough of $0.6513.
World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E
US presidential election results https://www.reuters.com/graphics/USA-ELECTION/RESULTS/zjpqnemxwvx/
Reporting by Samuel Indyk and Kevin Buckland; Editing by Sam Holmes, Muralikumar Anantharaman and Christina Fincher
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إخلاء المسؤولية: تتيح كيانات XM Group خدمة تنفيذية فقط والدخول إلى منصة تداولنا عبر الإنترنت، مما يسمح للشخص بمشاهدة و/أو استخدام المحتوى المتاح على موقع الويب أو عن طريقه، وهذا المحتوى لا يراد به التغيير أو التوسع عن ذلك. يخضع هذا الدخول والاستخدام دائماً لما يلي: (1) الشروط والأحكام؛ (2) تحذيرات المخاطر؛ (3) إخلاء المسؤولية الكامل. لذلك يُقدم هذا المحتوى على أنه ليس أكثر من معلومات عامة. تحديداً، يرجى الانتباه إلى أن المحتوى المتاح على منصة تداولنا عبر الإنترنت ليس طلباً أو عرضاً لدخول أي معاملات في الأسواق المالية. التداول في أي سوق مالي به مخاطرة عالية برأس مالك.
جميع المواد المنشورة على منصة تداولنا مخصصة للأغراض التعليمية/المعلوماتية فقط ولا تحتوي - ولا ينبغي اعتبار أنها تحتوي - على نصائح أو توصيات مالية أو ضريبية أو تجارية، أو سجلاً لأسعار تداولنا، أو عرضاً أو طلباً لأي معاملة في أي صكوك مالية أو عروض ترويجية مالية لا داعي لها.
أي محتوى تابع للغير بالإضافة إلى المحتوى الذي أعدته XM، مثل الآراء، والأخبار، والأبحاث، والتحليلات والأسعار وغيرها من المعلومات أو روابط مواقع تابعة للغير وواردة في هذا الموقع تُقدم لك "كما هي"، كتعليق عام على السوق ولا تعتبر نصيحة استثمارية. يجب ألا يُفسر أي محتوى على أنه بحث استثماري، وأن تلاحظ وتقبل أن المحتوى غير مُعدٍ وفقاً للمتطلبات القانونية المصممة لتعزيز استقلالية البحث الاستثماري، وبالتالي، فهو بمثابة تواصل تسويقي بموجب القوانين واللوائح ذات الصلة. فضلاً تأكد من أنك قد قرأت وفهمت الإخطار بالبحوث الاستثمارية غير المستقلة والتحذير من مخاطر المعلومات السابقة، والذي يمكنك الاطلاع عليه هنا.
