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أسواق الأسهم

Technical Analysis – US 500 index could see further weakness

US 500 index posts negative days lately Next support at long-term rising trend line Momentum oscillators confirm bearish correction The US 500 cash index is recording the fourth straight negative session, losing more than 3%. The price is currently retreating beneath the 5,565 strong resistance level as well as below the 20- and the 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs).
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Nvidia loses August’s wins as recession risks resurface Short-term bias skewed to the downside; more sellers wait below 100.45   Nvidia’s stock has been suffering along with other key tech stocks in the face of renewed recession fears, which could harm AI growth perspectives, losing more than 10% during the previous days. According to pre-market trading, today’s session might be another struggle after the wide miss in the ADP employment data.
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Stocks could suffer after the September Fed rate cut

US labour market data to determine the size of the first Fed rate cut History points to an increased possibility of a 50bps move Analysis reveals sizeable equities’ weakness after the initial cut Following Fed Chairman Powell's appearance at the Jackson Hole Symposium and this indirect announcement of the much-discussed Fed rate cut, the market is counting down to the September 18 meeting.
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Technical Analysis – US 100 index under pressure

US 100 index drops, reversing the August rally Nvidia woes keep sentiment negative Momentum indicators are turning bearish The US 100 cash index is in the red again today, trading back below the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) and having surrendered half of its August gains. Nvidia’s underperformance is keeping the index under pressure with the market preparing for this week's key US labour market data releases and counting down to the September 18 Fed meeting.
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Volatility eases across the board ahead of key US data – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility drops as market prepares for an action-packed week Volatility in commodities crashes to new lows apart from oil Stock indices and bitcoin experience much lower volatility Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, has eased in the past few days as the market is preparing for this week’s US labour market data releases that could play a key role in determining the size of the imminent rate cut by the Fed.
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US 30 index hangs near record high – Stock Markets

US 30 benefits from weaker correlation with tech stocks; holds near record high Downside risks remain, but sentiment still positive above 41,000     The US 30 index has less exposure to AI-related technology companies and that’s partially the reason why it has gained only 9.7% year-to-date versus the double-digit growth of around 19% in the US 500 and US 100 indices.
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US 500 cash index holds above Ichimoku cloud Bullish wave started from 5,090 Stochastic turns higher The US 500 cash index has been travelling near the all-time high of 5,673.39 over the last few sessions, successfully surpassing the Ichimoku cloud, the short-term simple moving averages (SMAs) and the long-term uptrend line. In the event the price stays resilient above the 5,565 support, the bulls might push for a close above the record peak and create another higher high.

Nvidia earnings to give AI space another reality check – Stock Markets

Nvidia earnings will be out on August 28 after market close Analysts expect triple-digit growth in revenue and earnings Stock up around 160% in 2024, valuation retains reasonable premium   Nvidia has another stellar year Nvidia has been the top-performing stock of the S&P 500 this year, rising by more than 160%. Clearly, the firm has been capitalising on the strong demand for its AI chips as they appear to be essential tools for all leading players in the Artificial Intell
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Technical Analysis – US 30 index loses steam near July’s barrier

US 30 recoups losses but cannot resume uptrend Short-term bias is positive; confirmation awaited above 40,900 FOMC meeting minutes due at 18:00 GMT   Following a downturn at the beginning of the month, the US 30 index (cash) has made a strong comeback, although it encountered obstacles in surpassing the 40,900 threshold on Tuesday.
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Technical Analysis – Nvidia stock enjoys big recovery. What comes next?

Nvidia’s stock extends exponential rally; pauses slightly below 130 There is potential for more upside as overbought signals not confirmed yet Earnings due on Wednesday, August 28 after market close   Nvidia staged another descent rally along with other tech stocks on Monday, sparking optimism that the ongoing bullish wave is not part of a bearish trend, and that the worst is now behind us as the price violated the tentative descending trendline taken from June’s record high.
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Technical Analysis – US 500 index slips after 10% recovery

US 500 index rises above long-term uptrend line 200-day SMA still holds well Stochastic and RSI indicate overstretched market The US 500 cash index recovered by almost 10% from the bearish wave that started from the all-time high of 5,673.39 and is currently returning to a position above the long-term ascending trend line. The index found strong support at the 2,090 support level, which stands near the 200-day simple moving average (SMA).
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Was the recent stock market slump an overreaction? – Stock Markets

US indices took a hit after a soft NFP report sparked recessions fears But risk sentiment rebounded, and investors eagerly bought the dip What events may disrupt the market's supposed immunity to downside risks?   V-shaped recovery July’s softer-than-expected NFP report sent shockwaves across all asset classes as fears that the US economy is on the brink of a recession emerged.
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Asian markets bounce back; eyes on local data, not just US CPI – Preview

Asian equities extend rebound ahead of key data Japanese GDP, Aussie jobs and Chinese indicators on the agenda Any upsets could roil the fragile sentiment A cautious rebound for stocks Stock markets in Asia have not been immune to the global selloff in August amid the unwinding of the yen carry trade and renewed fears about a US recession.
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US 500 cash index rebounds from 3-month low The price jumps above 50-SMA on the 4-hour chart Momentum indicators are tilted to the upside The US 500 stock index (cash) came under severe selling pressure last week, dropping to its lowest level since early May. However, the price seems to be in a recovery mode since its recent bottom, with the bulls reclaiming the 50-period simple moving average (SMA).
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Is the US data that bad to justify a rate cut?

The recent acute market reaction occurred due to increased recession fears Surprise indices point to a more balanced US economic situation Recessions tend to be caused by one-off major events The recent market drop has been attributed to higher chances of a US recession It has been a very volatile period in markets. The recent higher-than-expected rate hike by the BoJ caused a knee-jerk reaction in Japanese stock markets that led to the yen making significant gains across the boar
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Technical Analysis – US 100 index shifts to the sidelines

US 100 index opens the day in neutral mood   Some recovery likely but outlook could stay cloudy below 18,822 Earnings season continues with Disney’s results on August 7   The US 100 stock index had a boring start to Tuesday’s session, remaining neutral around Monday’s closing price and the 18,100 level. Previously, the price staged a nice rebound near the 2023-2024 support trendline and bounced back above its 200-day SMA, increasing optimism that the bulls could soon take o
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Technical Analysis – JP 225 index tries to find footing after 20% crash

JP 225 index plummets to 10-month low amid global stock meltdown Oversold signals detected; but bulls could show up above 33,585   Japan’s 225 stock index (cash) started the month on the wrong foot, sinking by a massive 21% to a 10-month low of 30,361 in the wake of recession fears in the US and as the bruised yen finally entered a bullish cycle.
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Market angst pushes volatility higher across the board – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility skyrockets as recession fears resurface Volatility in commodities jumps as geopolitics takes centre stage Stock indices experience much stronger volatility, decoupling from Bitcoin Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, jumped to the highest level of the past month as fears of recession, on the back of last Friday’s weak US labour market report, resulted in the market pricing in an aggressive easing path for most central banks during 2024.
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Disney reports Q2 earnings amid a severe stock rout – Stock Markets

Walt Disney unveils earnings before market’s opening bell on August 7 Solid revenue and profit growth is expected despite recent stock selloff Valuation is currently at its lowest levels since the Covid-19 outbreak Flat in the year despite an impressive start Although the year started with the best auspicious signs for Disney, which were also reinforced by a very strong Q1 earnings report, things turned ugly very quickly.
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Amazon stock experienced a pullback from its all-time high But the price found strong support ahead of Q2 earnings Momentum indicators are heavily tilted to the downside Amazon’s stock has been in a steady uptrend since late 2023, storming to a fresh record peak of 201.00 on July 8. Although the price corrected lower, falling victim of a broader tech selloff, it seems to have paused its retreat and recouped some losses ahead of its Q2 earnings announcement on Thursday.
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إخلاء المسؤولية: تتيح كيانات XM Group خدمة تنفيذية فقط والدخول إلى منصة تداولنا عبر الإنترنت، مما يسمح للشخص بمشاهدة و/أو استخدام المحتوى المتاح على موقع الويب أو عن طريقه، وهذا المحتوى لا يراد به التغيير أو التوسع عن ذلك. يخضع هذا الدخول والاستخدام دائماً لما يلي: (1) الشروط والأحكام؛ (2) تحذيرات المخاطر؛ (3) إخلاء المسؤولية الكامل. لذلك يُقدم هذا المحتوى على أنه ليس أكثر من معلومات عامة. تحديداً، يرجى الانتباه إلى أن المحتوى المتاح على منصة تداولنا عبر الإنترنت ليس طلباً أو عرضاً لدخول أي معاملات في الأسواق المالية. التداول في أي سوق مالي به مخاطرة عالية برأس مالك.

جميع المواد المنشورة على منصة تداولنا مخصصة للأغراض التعليمية/المعلوماتية فقط ولا تحتوي - ولا ينبغي اعتبار أنها تحتوي - على نصائح أو توصيات مالية أو ضريبية أو تجارية، أو سجلاً لأسعار تداولنا، أو عرضاً أو طلباً لأي معاملة في أي صكوك مالية أو عروض ترويجية مالية لا داعي لها.

أي محتوى تابع للغير بالإضافة إلى المحتوى الذي أعدته XM، مثل الآراء، والأخبار، والأبحاث، والتحليلات والأسعار وغيرها من المعلومات أو روابط مواقع تابعة للغير وواردة في هذا الموقع تُقدم لك "كما هي"، كتعليق عام على السوق ولا تعتبر نصيحة استثمارية. يجب ألا يُفسر أي محتوى على أنه بحث استثماري، وأن تلاحظ وتقبل أن المحتوى غير مُعدٍ وفقاً للمتطلبات القانونية المصممة لتعزيز استقلالية البحث الاستثماري، وبالتالي، فهو بمثابة تواصل تسويقي بموجب القوانين واللوائح ذات الصلة. فضلاً تأكد من أنك قد قرأت وفهمت الإخطار بالبحوث الاستثمارية غير المستقلة والتحذير من مخاطر المعلومات السابقة، والذي يمكنك الاطلاع عليه هنا.

تحذير المخاطر: رأس مالك في خطر. المنتجات التي تستخدم الرافعة قد لا تكون مناسبة للجميع. يرجى الاطلاع على تنبيه المخاطر.