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جميع الأخبار

Quick Brief – US jobs bounce back less than expected, dollar slips

US economy adds 142k jobs in August versus forecast of 160k But unemployment rate dips as wage growth accelerates   Nonfarm payrolls bounced back in August, rising by 142k, while the unemployment rate fell slightly to 4.2% as expected. However, the payrolls figure is below the consensus forecast of 160k jobs and the prior month’s reading of 114k was revised down to 89k, feeding doubts about the health of the US economy.
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EURAUD trades higher, partly reversing August’s correction It is has climbed above a key support level in an aggressive fashion Momentum indicators are turning mostly bullish EURAUD is trading higher today, experiencing its fourth consecutive green candle, after testing the 1.6250 level in late August. Peripheral currencies have been under pressure this week as the market is preparing for the next big events, starting with the non-farm payrolls figure later today.
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Week Ahead – ECB poised to cut again, US CPI to get final say on size of Fed cut

ECB is expected to ease again, but will it be another ‘hawkish cut’? US CPI report will be the last inflation update before September FOMC UK monthly data flurry begins with employment and GDP numbers ECB to cut rates for second time The European Central Bank’s carefully choreographed rate-cutting cycle got off to an awkward start in June after last-minute data upsets.
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Technical Analysis – US 500 index could see further weakness

US 500 index posts negative days lately Next support at long-term rising trend line Momentum oscillators confirm bearish correction The US 500 cash index is recording the fourth straight negative session, losing more than 3%. The price is currently retreating beneath the 5,565 strong resistance level as well as below the 20- and the 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs).
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Technical Analysis – US dollar index continues to feel selling interest

US dollar index pulls back from 101.90 50- and 200-day SMAs post bearish cross Stochastic dives towards oversold region The US dollar index has declined considerably from the 101.90 resistance level, standing beneath the 20-day simple moving average (SMA). Furthermore, the 50- and the 200-day SMAs recorded a bearish crossover, while the technical oscillators indicate a negative bias.
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Daily Comment – Investors lock gaze on NFP data

Dollar slides as data offer little respite to concerned investors NFP to accelerate somewhat, but PMI surveys pose downside risks S&P 500 and Dow Jones end in red ahead of the job numbers Gold rebounds, approaches record high; oil stabilizes Data fail to alleviate investors’ worries The dollar traded lower against all of its major counterparts on Thursday as the boost received by the better-than-expected initial jobless claims and the improving ISM non-manufacturing PMI
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD doubts September’s upturn

USDCAD trims September’s uptick to trade near key trendline Technical signals are mixed; a break below 1.3480 could shift the bias to the downside US & Canadian employment figures due at 12:30 GMT   USDCAD started Friday’s NFP session with soft negative momentum after a stagnant day, which prevented the pair from examining its weekly high of 1.3564. While the technical indicators have barely shown any improvement, there is still a chance for a positive turnaround as long
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Cryptos’ short-term outlook rests on the Fed – Crypto News

Cryptos trade lower due to overall negative market sentiment Spot ETFs outflow confirm investors’ lower appetite Cryptos desperately looking for new bullish catalysts Ethereum a tad above some key support levels Cryptocurrencies remain under pressure The cryptocurrency world remains under severe pressure with bitcoin repeatedly failing to climb above the $60k area.
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Technical Analysis – AUDUSD bounces off 0.6700 but looks weak

AUDUSD flirts with weekly downtrend line Stochastics create bullish cross But RSI holds near neutral level AUDUSD has reversed to the upside after the rebound off the 0.6700 round number with strong barrier coming from the weekly descending trend line around 0.6750. Over the last couple of weeks, the market has been developing back and forth of the aforementioned diagonal line, looking weak to change the outlook to a more positive one.
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Quick Brief – ISM non-mfg. PMI ticks up, but offers little relief

ISM non-mfg. PMI rises to 51.5 from 51.4 Prices charged and new orders improve, but employment cools This leaves some traders concerned ahead of tomorrow's NFP The ISM non-manufacturing PMI rose to 51.5 from 51.4, with the prices paid and new orders subindices rising as well. However, employment cooled further, with the respective index falling to just a tenth above stagnation.

Technical Analysis – EURUSD bulls back into play

EURUSD bounces off 1.1030 Stochastics and RSI head north EURUSD has been advancing from the 1.1030 support level, surpassing the 20-day SMA and reaching the 1.1100 round number. The %K and %D lines of the stochastic oscillator have posted a bullish crossover in the oversold territory, while the RSI is pointing upwards above the 50 level.   Should the pair manage to strengthen its positive momentum, the next resistance could come around the 13-month high of 1.1200. A break highe
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Quick Brief – US ADP numbers surprise to the downside

ADP employment prints at 99k, missing expectations Odds of 50bps Fed rate cut rise again USDJPY declines considerably The US ADP employment data published today revealed a lower-than-expected rise in private sector jobs; it rose to 99k from a revised 111k previously and is below the forecast of 145k. This reading is the lowest since 2021 and could have major implications for the dollar, the stock market and the Federal Reserve's possible rate decision.
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Nvidia loses August’s wins as recession risks resurface Short-term bias skewed to the downside; more sellers wait below 100.45   Nvidia’s stock has been suffering along with other key tech stocks in the face of renewed recession fears, which could harm AI growth perspectives, losing more than 10% during the previous days. According to pre-market trading, today’s session might be another struggle after the wide miss in the ADP employment data.
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Midweek Technical Look - EURUSD, US 500, oil

EURUSD rebounded off 1.1030 ahead of NFP data US 500 looks flat after aggressive losses WTI crude oil heads slightly up from 8-month low
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Technical Analysis – USDCHF eyes August’s low as bears stay in charge

USDCHF trims latest rebound, holds bearish trend ahead of US data Short-term bias skewed to the downside; bears wait for a move below 0.8435   USDCHF has been stuck in a downward trend since April’s peak of 0.9223, unable to sustain any bullish corrections. More recently, following its bounce from an eight-month low of 0.8398, the price is once again subject to downward pressure.
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Technical Analysis – Bitcoin slides and hits the 56,200 support

Bitcoin has been declining since August 26 The bigger picture points to a broadening formation Oscillators imply further declines within the pattern BTCUSD has been sliding lately, after hitting resistance near the 64,700 zone on August 24 and 26. The crypto king dropped below the key support (now turned into resistance) zone of 61,600 and found support slightly below 56,200 yesterday.
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY continues selling interest below 190.00

GBPJPY stands beneath 200-day SMA Momentum oscillators look neutral-to-bearish GBPJPY has been in a considerably descending movement, losing around 3% after it topped at 193.50. The market is currently testing the 188.00 round number with the technical oscillator confirming strong bearish tendency in the short-to-medium-term view. The stochastic plunged into the oversold territory with strong momentum, while the RSI is sloping down below the neutral threshold of 50. Steeper declines c
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Daily Comment – Equities weakness lingers as focus remains on US data

Equities remain on the back foot as key US data on the menu today ADP, jobless claims and ISM Services could prove market moving Dollar’s mixed performance continues, yen benefits OPEC+ production rumours fail to push oil prices higher US data releases in the spotlight Equity markets continue to exhibit a rather unexpected fragility as second tier data like Wednesday’s JOLTs job openings resulted in another negative session in most stock indices around the globe.
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Quick brief – US JOLTs disappoint, Wall Street trembles

US job openings fall to the lowest since April 2021 Bets for a 50bps rate cut increase Wall Street moves between gains and loses   US JOLTs job openings retreated to the lowest in three and a half years of 7.76 million in July compared to the forecast of 8.09 million and June’s negatively revised reading of 7.91 million. The data followed a negative surprise in the ISM manufacturing PMI, with investors further raising the odds for a double rate cut to 45% on concerns the econo
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Technical Analysis – WTI oil futures test critical support

WTI oil futures seek buyers around strong support trendline near 69.00 Short-term bias remains bearish; a bounce above 74.00 is needed     WTI oil futures edged up to 71.44 on news that OPEC members are discussing a potential delay in a planned output hike in October. Technically, the price rotated higher after marking a nine-month low of 69.17, near the important support trendline, which joins the lows from the end of May 2023. Recall that oil set a strong footing near that line
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أي محتوى تابع للغير بالإضافة إلى المحتوى الذي أعدته XM، مثل الآراء، والأخبار، والأبحاث، والتحليلات والأسعار وغيرها من المعلومات أو روابط مواقع تابعة للغير وواردة في هذا الموقع تُقدم لك "كما هي"، كتعليق عام على السوق ولا تعتبر نصيحة استثمارية. يجب ألا يُفسر أي محتوى على أنه بحث استثماري، وأن تلاحظ وتقبل أن المحتوى غير مُعدٍ وفقاً للمتطلبات القانونية المصممة لتعزيز استقلالية البحث الاستثماري، وبالتالي، فهو بمثابة تواصل تسويقي بموجب القوانين واللوائح ذات الصلة. فضلاً تأكد من أنك قد قرأت وفهمت الإخطار بالبحوث الاستثمارية غير المستقلة والتحذير من مخاطر المعلومات السابقة، والذي يمكنك الاطلاع عليه هنا.

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